• The housing market is shifting away from the intensity of the past two years. Here’s what experts project for the remainder of 2022.
• Home prices are forecast to rise more moderately than last year. Mortgage rates will respond to inflation, and home sales will be more in line with pre-pandemic years.
• Let’s connect so you can make your best move this year.

Some Highlights

• The housing market is shifting away from the intensity of the past two years. Here’s what experts project for the remainder of 2022.
• Home prices are forecast to rise more moderately than last year. Mortgage rates will respond to inflation, and home sales will be more in line with pre-pandemic years.
• Let’s connect so you can make your best move this year.

Some Highlights

• The housing market is shifting away from the intensity of the past two years. Here’s what experts project for the remainder of 2022.
• Home prices are forecast to rise more moderately than last year. Mortgage rates will respond to inflation, and home sales will be more in line with pre-pandemic years.

• A buyers’ market is when there are more homes for sale than buyers looking to buy. When that happens, buyers have the negotiation power because sellers are more willing to compromise so they can sell their house.
• In a sellers’ market, it’s just the opposite. There are too few homes available for the number of buyers in the market and that gives the seller all the leverage. In that situation, buyers will do what they can to compete for the limited number of homes for sale.
• A neutral market is when supply is balanced and there are enough homes to meet buyer demand at the current sales pace.

What Does This Mean for You?

“Overall, the best summary is that we'll move from a gangbuster sellers' market to a modest sellers' market.”

Bottom Line

“The median rent across the 50 largest US metropolitan areas reached $1,876 in June, a new record level for Realtor.com data for the 16th consecutive month.”

If You Need More Space, Buying a Home May Be More Affordable

Homeownership Also Provides Stability and a Chance To Grow Your Wealth

“...if you buy a house and secure a fixed-rate mortgage, that means that no matter how much prices or interest rates go up, your fixed payment will stay the same every month. That's an advantage over renting since there's a good chance your landlord will raise your rent to counter inflationary pressures.” 

“Homeownership is still considered one of the most reliable ways to build wealth. When you make monthly mortgage payments, you're building equity in your home that you can tap into later on. When you rent, you aren't investing in your financial future the same way you are when you're paying off a mortgage.”

Bottom Line

There’s a Shortage of Homes on the Market Today, Not a Surplus

Mortgage Standards Were Much More Relaxed During the Crash

“Credit standards tightened in recent months due to increasing economic uncertainty and monetary policy tightening.” 

The Foreclosure Volume Is Nothing Like It Was During the Crash

“In total, mortgage holders gained $2.8 trillion in tappable equity over the past 12 months – a 34% increase that equates to more than $207,000 in equity available per borrower. . . .”

Bottom Line

A Need for More Space

A Desire To Be Closer to Loved Ones

“. . . a shifting of priorities has also affected why people are moving. Many companies have moved to permanent remote working policies, giving employees the option to move freely around the country, and people are taking advantage of the perk.”

What Does That Mean for You?

“Your home is your castle and should confer benefits beyond just the numbers.”

Bottom Line

• The housing market is moving away from the frenzy of the past year and it’s opening doors for you if you’re thinking about buying a home.
• Housing inventory is increasing, which means more options for your search. Plus, the intensity of bidding wars may ease as buyer demand moderates, leading to fewer homes selling above asking price.
• If you’re ready to buy a home, now may be the moment you’ve been waiting for. Let’s connect to start the homebuying process today.

Some Highlights

• The housing market is moving away from the frenzy of the past year and it’s opening doors for you if you’re thinking about buying a home.
• Housing inventory is increasing, which means more options for your search. Plus, the intensity of bidding wars may ease as buyer demand moderates, leading to fewer homes selling above asking price.
• If you’re ready to buy a home, now may be the moment you’ve been waiting for. Let’s connect to start the homebuying process today.

Some Highlights

• The housing market is moving away from the frenzy of the past year and it’s opening doors for you if you’re thinking about buying a home.
• Housing inventory is increasing, which means more options for your search. Plus, the intensity of bidding wars may ease as buyer demand moderates, leading to fewer homes selling above asking price.

Myth 1: Home Prices Are Going To Fall

• Appreciation, or an increase in home prices.
• Depreciation, or a decrease in home prices.
• And deceleration, which is an increase in home prices, but at a slower pace.

“. . . higher mortgage rates coupled with more inventory will lead to slower home price growth but unlikely declines in home prices.”

Myth 2: The Housing Market Is in a Correction

“A correction is a sustained decline in the value of a market index or the price of an individual asset. A correction is generally agreed to be a 10% to 20% drop in value from a recent peak.”

Myth 3: The Housing Market Is Going To Crash

“As recession talk becomes more prevalent, some people are concerned that mortgage credit lending will get much tighter. This typically happens in a recession, however, the notion that credit lending in America will collapse as it did from 2005 to 2008 couldn’t be more incorrect, as we haven’t had a credit boom in the period between 2008-2022.”

Bottom Line

“This is an opportunity for people with a secure job to jump into the market, when other people are a little hesitant because of a possible recession. . . They’ll have fewer buyers to compete with.”

Two Reasons There Are More Homes for Sale

Bottom Line

Higher Mortgage Rates Are Moderating the Housing Market 

• The 2017 through early 2020 numbers (shown in gray) give a good baseline of pre-pandemic demand. The steady up and down trends seen in each of these years show typical seasonality in the market.
• The blue on the graph represents the pandemic years. The height of those blue bars indicates home showings skyrocketed during the pandemic.
• The most recent data (shown in green), indicates buyer demand is moderating back toward more pre-pandemic levels.

Higher Mortgage Rates Slow the Once Frenzied Pace of Home Sales

• The pre-pandemic years (shown in gray) establish a baseline of the number of existing home sales in more typical years.
• The pandemic years (shown in blue) exceeded the level of sales seen in previous years. That’s largely because low mortgage rates during that time spurred buyer demand and home sales to new heights.
• This year (shown in green), the market is feeling the impact of higher mortgage rates and that’s moderating buyer demand (and by extension home sales). That’s why the expectation for home sales this year is closer to what the market saw in 2018-2019.

Why Is All of This Good News for You?

Bottom Line

While Growing, Housing Supply Is Still Low

Millennials Will Create Sustained Buyer Demand Moving Forward

 “. . . millennials continue to transition to their prime home-buying age and will remain the driving force in potential homeownership demand in the years ahead.”

“After all, supplies of homes for sale remain near record lows. And while a jump in mortgage rates has dampened demand somewhat, demand still outpaces supply, thanks to a combination of little new construction and strong household formation by large numbers of millennials.”

What This Means for Home Prices

Bottom Line

• Experts say the number of homes for sale is growing this year, and that can have a big impact on your move.
• If you’re planning to buy, additional options in today’s market may be just what you’ve been waiting for. More inventory means added opportunities to find the home of your dreams.
• Let’s connect so you have the latest information on available homes in our area.

Some Highlights

• Experts say the number of homes for sale is growing this year, and that can have a big impact on your move.
• If you’re planning to buy, additional options in today’s market may be just what you’ve been waiting for. More inventory means added opportunities to find the home of your dreams.
• Let’s connect so you have the latest information on available homes in our area.

Some Highlights

• Experts say the number of homes for sale is growing this year, and that can have a big impact on your move.
• If you’re planning to buy, additional options in today’s market may be just what you’ve been waiting for. More inventory means added opportunities to find the home of your dreams.

Home Prices Rose Significantly in Recent Years

Where Experts Say Prices Will Go from Here

“. . .we’re still well below normal levels of inventory and that’s why even with the pullback in demand, we still see house prices appreciating. While there is more inventory, it’s still not enough.”

“The current home price growth rate is unsustainable, and higher mortgage rates coupled with more inventory will lead to slower home price growth but unlikely declines in home prices.”

Bottom Line

“Inflation will have a strong influence on where mortgage rates go in the months ahead. . . . Whenever inflation finally starts to ease, so will mortgage rates — but even then, home prices are still subject to demand and very tight supply.”

Homeownership Is Historically a Great Hedge Against Inflation

“Real estate is one of the time-honored inflation hedges. It's a tangible asset, and those tend to hold their value when inflation reigns, unlike paper assets. More specifically, as prices rise, so do property values.”

“The current home price growth rate is unsustainable, and higher mortgage rates coupled with more inventory will lead to slower home price growth but unlikely declines in home prices.”

Bottom Line

“A pre-approval is an indication from your lender that they are willing to lend you a certain amount of money to buy your future home. The lender you work with will provide you with a pre-approval letter, which is an official document that states the maximum amount they are willing to lend you, . . .”

“. . . most sellers won’t even consider an offer unless the buyer is pre-approved at the right price point. Sellers and their agents want to know you’re ready and able to finance your offer amount. So you’ll want to have your preapproval teed up as soon as you’re serious about bidding on a home you like.”

Bottom Line

Buying an Existing Home Can Give You That Lived-in Charm

“Home sellers in many markets across the country continue to benefit from rising home prices and fast-selling homes. That’s prompted a growing number of homeowners to sell homes this year compared to last, giving home shoppers much needed options. We’ve seen more homes come up for sale this year compared to last year . . .”

Purchasing a Newly Built or Under Construction Home Means Brand New Everything

“New single-family home inventory remained elevated at a 7.7 months’ supply. . . . However, only 8.3% of new home inventory is completed and ready to occupy. The remaining have not started construction (25.9%) or are currently under construction.”

Bottom Line

• It’s worth considering the many benefits of homeownership before you make the decision to rent or buy a home.
• When you buy, you can stabilize your housing costs, own a tangible asset, and grow your net worth as you gain equity. When you rent, you face rising housing costs, won’t see a return on your investment, and limit your ability to save.
• If you want to learn more about the benefits of homeownership, let’s connect today.

Some Highlights

• It’s worth considering the many benefits of homeownership before you make the decision to rent or buy a home.
• When you buy, you can stabilize your housing costs, own a tangible asset, and grow your net worth as you gain equity. When you rent, you face rising housing costs, won’t see a return on your investment, and limit your ability to save.
• If you want to learn more about the benefits of homeownership, let’s connect today.

Some Highlights

• It’s worth considering the many benefits of homeownership before you make the decision to rent or buy a home.
• When you buy, you can stabilize your housing costs, own a tangible asset, and grow your net worth as you gain equity. When you rent, you face rising housing costs, won’t see a return on your investment, and limit your ability to save.

Today Is Nothing Like 2008

"This is not the same market of 2008. . . . It's no secret the housing market played a central role in the Great Recession, but this market is just fundamentally different in so many ways."

“Among the differences between today’s housing market and that of the 2008 housing crash is that lending standards are tighter due to lessons learned and new regulations enacted after the last crisis. Essentially, that means those approved for a mortgage nowadays are less likely to default than those who were approved in the pre-crisis lending period.”

“. . . experts don’t believe the market is in a bubble or a crash is in the cards, like during the Great Recession. The nation is still suffering from a housing shortage that has reached crisis proportions at a time when many millennials are reaching the age when they start to consider homeownership. That’s likely to keep prices high.”

Bottom Line

The Future of Home Price Appreciation

“People should not anticipate another double-digit price appreciation. Those days are over. . . . We may return to more normal price appreciation of 4%, 5% a year.”

What Does That Mean for You?

Bottom Line

Where Mortgage Rates Will Go Depends on Inflation

“Until inflation peaks, mortgage rates won’t either. Without improvement on the inflation front, we don’t know where the interest rate ceiling will be.”

The Supply of Homes for Sale Projected To Continue Increasing

Home Price Forecasts Call for Ongoing Appreciation

“The current home price growth rate is unsustainable, and higher mortgage rates coupled with more inventory will lead to slower home price growth but unlikely declines in home prices.”

Bottom Line

“According to Freddie Mac, the 30-year fixed mortgage rate dropped sharply by 40 basis points to 5.3 percent. . . . As a result, home buying is about 5 percent more affordable than a week ago. This translates to about $100 less every month on a mortgage payment.”

Bottom Line

• According to the latest data from CoreLogic, the average homeowner gained $64,000 in home equity over the past 12 months.
• That much equity can be a game-changer when you move. When you sell, it could be some (if not all) of what you need for a down payment on your next home.
• To find out how much equity you have in your home and how you can use it, let’s connect today.

Some Highlights

• According to the latest data from CoreLogic, the average homeowner gained $64,000 in home equity over the past 12 months.
• That much equity can be a game-changer when you move. When you sell, it could be some (if not all) of what you need for a down payment on your next home.
• To find out how much equity you have in your home and how you can use it, let’s connect today.

Some Highlights

• According to the latest data from CoreLogic, the average homeowner gained $64,000 in home equity over the past 12 months.
• That much equity can be a game-changer when you move. When you sell, it could be some (if not all) of what you need for a down payment on your next home.

“Throughout history, during a recessionary period, interest rates go up at the beginning of the recession. But in order to come out of a recession, interest rates are lowered to stimulate the economy moving forward.”

“Over the past five recessions, mortgage rates have fallen an average of 1.8 percentage points from the peak seen during the recession to the trough. And in many cases, they continued to fall after the fact as it takes some time to turn things around even when the recession is technically over.”

Bottom Line

“The stunning jump in home values over the course of the Covid-19 pandemic has given U.S. homeowners record amounts of housing wealth.”

How Your Equity Grows

“Home equity gains are built up through price appreciation and by paying off the mortgage through principal payments.”

Average Equity Growth over Time

Bottom Line

“Homeownership builds financial security. With 65.5% of Americans owning homes, the net worth of a typical homeowner is nearly 40 times the net worth of a non-owner.”

• Your equity (and wealth) grows through home price appreciation.
• Your housing costs are fixed – and that can help combat rising costs from inflation.
• You’ll have greater privacy and the opportunity to customize your living space.

“Living in one place for a longer amount of time creates and [sic] obvious sense of community pride, which may lead to more investment in said community.”

What Does That Mean for You?

“Homeownership remains central to the pursuit of the American Dream. It is a critical driver of economic mobility, delivering financial and social advantages. . . .”

Bottom Line

• Based on a recent Gallup poll, real estate has been rated the best long-term investment for nine years in a row.
• Owning real estate is more than just a place to call home. It’s also an investment in your future. That’s because it’s typically a stable and secure asset that can grow in value over time.
• If you’re ready to buy a home and invest in your future, let’s connect.

Some Highlights

• Based on a recent Gallup poll, real estate has been rated the best long-term investment for nine years in a row.
• Owning real estate is more than just a place to call home. It’s also an investment in your future. That’s because it’s typically a stable and secure asset that can grow in value over time.
• If you’re ready to buy a home and invest in your future, let’s connect.

Some Highlights

• Based on a recent Gallup poll, real estate has been rated the best long-term investment for nine years in a row.
• Owning real estate is more than just a place to call home. It’s also an investment in your future. That’s because it’s typically a stable and secure asset that can grow in value over time.